09.09.2018, 17:59
Es gibt ja bei footballguys.com das "Rate my Team"-Feature. Da habe ich mal all unsere Teams gecheckt.
Leider bewertet das Tool nur Offense-Spieler. Dennoch vielleicht mal für den ein oder anderen ganz interessant, welche Chancen das Tool für die aktuelle Saison berechnet.
Die Außenseiter:
14. Viersen Villains
QB: Aaron Rodgers, Josh McCown
RB: Jay Ajayi, Carlos Hyde, Matt Breida, Chris Ivory, Sony Michel
WR: Marvin Jones, Allen Hurns, Mohamed Sanu, Anthony Miller, Geronimo Allison, Terrance Williams
TE: Charles Clay, Hayden Hurst
PK: Greg Zuerlein, Graham Gano
Overview:
This team is built around strong quarterback play. But it has some serious issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your weaknesses at both running back and receiver put you in a hole before any games have played. To end up with a team constructed like this, you probably did not get value on some of your selections. The players themselves are not necessarily bad --- you just might have paid more than what they were worth.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Chris Ivory and Graham Gano. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
Aaron Rodgers vs. MIN: 347 passing yards, 5 TD
Jay Ajayi vs. BUF: 209 combined yards, 1 TD
Charles Clay vs. MIA: 85 receiving yards, 2 TD
Chris Ivory vs. TEN: 114 combined yards, 1 TD
QB Summary:
You don't need us to tell you this, but we'll tell you anyway: Aaron Rodgers should ensure that your production at the quarterback position is among the best in the league. We have him as the #1 QB according to your scoring rules, and we figure he gives you about a 3.2 point-per-game advantage over an average starting QB.
As of now, our projections don't indicate that Josh McCown will be a viable backup quarterback. While the presence of Rodgers minimizes the need for a top backup, we might recommend taking a quick peek at the free agent list to see if you can find some help. We'll offer some specific suggestions at the end of the report.
Incidentally, McCown has what we project as a bad matchup (MIN) during Rodgers's bye.
RB Summary:
We have Jay Ajayi ranked #21 at the position, so we don't even necessarily see him as being RB1 worthy in this league. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at running back is going to make up for it, so we feel this is an area of concern.
Carlos Hyde should be a good second running back; he's a likely flex starter. We also see Matt Breida as an above average RB3. Chris Ivory should serve as a very solid fourth running back.
Sony Michel is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Jay Ajayi is ranked #15 by some of our writers. Jeff Haseley reasons, "I generally stay away from bigger backs who don't have much of a presence in the receiving game, but Ajayi may be the back who has over 250 carries with 8-10 touchdowns and 22 receptions. There's a place in my lineup for that kind of production. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Marvin Jones is our #16 ranked receiver, Allen Hurns is #48, and we have Mohamed Sanu 58th.
We don't particularly like Anthony Miller as a fourth receiver. Geronimo Allison also figures to be a bit iffy as a fifth WR.
Terrance Williams is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Marvin Jones is ranked #8 by some of our writers, which would make him a fine first receiver. Matt Waldman reasons, "Jones is another receiver who made good on my long-term expectations. His work against tight coverage was outstanding and he's an excellent route runner. My peers don't believe in him at this stage. I don't know why. I can only guess they see Jones as a regression candidate or they think Kenny Golladay will become the primary option. Neither of those makes a lot of sense because Jones' past production was often due to injuries or lesser responsibility in the offense. Golladay must evolve from a one-trick pony with route running to pass Jones or Golden Tate. Jones is the most undervalued receiver in fantasy drafts. "
Some members of our staff have Allen Hurns ranked as high as 34th. Jeff Haseley defends his high ranking as follows: "The Cowboys don't have many play makers at receiver with Dez Bryant and Jason Witten moving on. Allen Hurns becomes the de-facto veteran presence for Dak Prescott. He'll have some value, but my gut says he won't venture higher than a WR3 or flex role. "
Anthony Miller is ranked #48 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average fourth receiver. Jeff Haseley reasons, "Anthony Miller is the type of hard-working, gritty player who can make a difference as a rookie. Miller's best asset may not be his talent and ability, but what he has between his left and right ears. We saw this last year with Cooper Kupp and the impact he made for the Rams. Miller has that same combination of ability and intelligence that could put him in the direct path of an increased role as the season wears on."
TE Summary:
This is a pretty motley crew. We don't see Charles Clay as a viable starter or Hayden Hurst as an above average backup. Help is needed.
Kicker Summary:
With Greg Zuerlein and Graham Gano, you should be above average at the position.
13. Villingen Volcanoes
Villingen Volcanoes (7%)
QB: Ben Roethlisberger, Mitchell Trubisky, Lamar Jackson
RB: Derrick Henry, Dion Lewis, Alfred Morris, Tarik Cohen, Giovani Bernard, Ronald Jones II
WR: Brandin Cooks, Kenny Golladay, Michael Gallup, James Washington, Ryan Grant, Kevin White
TE: Jack Doyle, O.J. Howard, Vance McDonald
PK: Harrison Butker
Overview:
Let us say this as nicely as we can. This team is brutal. It is below average and/or too thin at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver).
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. Quarterbacks like Jared Goff last season, Dak Prescott in 2016, and Blake Bortles in 2015 could be had cheap just after draft time. You are likely going to need to land many of this year's top waiver plays to make any significant noise, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Giovani Bernard and Vance McDonald. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
We have Ben Roethlisberger rated #9 among quarterbacks, which makes him a viable starter if not an exciting one. And we're not crazy about Mitchell Trubisky (ranked #23 among quarterbacks) as a backup. If Roethlisberger turns in the season we expect, this position won't ruin you, but it probably won't be a strength either. And if things go wrong, it could be a long year at QB.
Incidentally, Trubisky has what we project as a good matchup (NE) during Roethlisberger's bye.
Lamar Jackson is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Lamar Jackson as high as #25, which would make him a great third quarterback and even a legitimate QB2. Jeff Haseley's take: "I am of the camp that believes it's just a matter of time before Lamar Jackson gets his chance to start for Baltimore. Joe Flacco may have won a Super Bowl with the team, but that seems like a distant memory, especially given how he has performed over the last few seasons. It's time for a change and Lamar Jackson is the weapon who can do it for Baltimore. Jackson is a better pocket passer than most give him credit for and if Deshaun Watson can come in and be a success, why can't Jackson who has similar skill set with arguably better rushing ability? If he flashes in preseason, don't be surprised to see a short leash on Flacco. "
RB Summary:
We have Derrick Henry ranked #15 at the position, so we don't even necessarily see him as being RB1 worthy in this league. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at running back is going to make up for it, so we feel this is an area of concern.
Dion Lewis is a handcuff, but we'd like him as a second running back even if you didn't have Derrick Henry; he's a likely flex starter. Alfred Morris is an excellent RB3. Tough to do better than Tarik Cohen at RB4.
Though some teams will probably be content to roster as few as four players here, it was not a bad idea to take a few extras because you're not particularly strong overall at the position. Of your remaining guys, we like Giovani Bernard the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Derrick Henry as high as #13, which would make him a fine first running back. Jason Wood's take: "Even if you think the Titans want to split touches between Henry and Dion Lewis, it's unlikely to happen. Lewis' injury history is horrifying. And when is the last time a player left the Patriots and remained productive? Henry will be a bellcow, whether it was in the coaches' plans or not."
Some of our staffers have Dion Lewis as high as #22, which would make him a fine second running back. Matt Waldman's take: "Lewis could easily outproduce Derrick Henry in this offense that will have a lot of Patriots influences. Henry has decent feet but lacks the agility and burst of Lewis. I expect to elevate Lewis as the summer progresses. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Brandin Cooks is our 14th ranked WR, Kenny Golladay is #41, and we have Michael Gallup 62nd.
James Washington is a very weak fourth receiver. Ryan Grant also looks somewhat weak as a fifth WR.
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Kevin White is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Michael Gallup as high as #38, which would make him a fine third receiver. Jason Wood's take: "Gallup is raw and his role is far from guaranteed, but Dallas liked him enough to spend early draft capital on the former Colorado State star. "
Some members of our staff have James Washington ranked as high as 40th, which would make him a great fourth receiver and even a legitimate WR3. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Monitor how the Steelers intend to use Washington before elevating him as a routine contributor. "
TE Summary:
Jack Doyle is just OK as a starting tight end (we have him ranked #10). So the selection of O.J. Howard, who we see as a solid backup, was wise.
Vance McDonald is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.
Kicker Summary:
Harrison Butker, our 10th ranked kicker, won't win the league for you, but he'll do.
12. Posh Pott Possums:
Posh Pott Possums (8%)
QB: Dak Prescott, Baker Mayfield, Teddy Bridgewater
RB: Saquon Barkley, Peyton Barber, Chris Thompson, Doug Martin
WR: Robby Anderson, Kenny Stills, Robert Woods, Alshon Jeffery, Chris Godwin, Donte Moncrief, Terrelle Pryor, Antonio Callaway, Marqise Lee
TE: Jordan Reed, Dallas Goedert
PK: Wil Lutz
Overview:
Let us say this as nicely as we can. This team is brutal. It is below average and/or too thin at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver).
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. Quarterbacks like Jared Goff last season, Dak Prescott in 2016, and Blake Bortles in 2015 could be had cheap just after draft time. You are likely going to need to land many of this year's top waiver plays to make any significant noise, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Donte Moncrief and Wil Lutz. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
We have Dak Prescott rated #18 among quarterbacks, so we're not even sold on him as a fantasy starter in your league. And we don't think Baker Mayfield (ranked #36 among quarterbacks) is even a viable backup. You might want to explore the possibility of upgrading at the backup QB slot, as it shouldn't cost you too much (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).
Incidentally, these two have a terrific combined schedule and a decent playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:
CAR | NYG | NYJ | DET | HOU | LAC | TB | PIT | TEN | ATL | ATL | CIN | HOU | CAR | IND | TB
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Teddy Bridgewater is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Teddy Bridgewater ranked as high as 31st, which would make him an above average third quarterback. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Bridgewater will most likely back up Josh McCown this year, leaving Darnold as the No. 3 option. "
RB Summary:
We have Saquon Barkley ranked #8 at the position. So while he's passable as a first running back, he doesn't look particularly thrilling. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at RB is going to make up for it, so this could be an area of some concern.
Peyton Barber should be a good second running back; he's a likely flex starter. Chris Thompson, on the other hand, is an average-at-best third RB. Doug Martin should be a good fourth running back.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Saquon Barkley ranked as high as fifth, which would make him an above average first running back. Jeff Pasquino defends his high ranking as follows: "Taking a rookie early at tailback is a risky play even if he winds up on a top notch offense, but when he is on a subpar offense it gets even more dicey. Barkley is a very good prospect, but the Giants were terrible on the ground last season and not much has been done to improve the offensive line. Barkley has next to no upside as a Top 10 running back fantasy pick, so I will pass."
Some of our staffers have Doug Martin as high as #36, which would make him a great fourth running back and even a legitimate RB3. Jason Wood's take: "Martin has multiple RB1 seasons on his resume, but he's been a fantasy bust on many occasions, too. Will a landing in Oakland make for rejuvenation? Don't bet on it. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Robby Anderson is our #26 ranked receiver, Kenny Stills is #29, and we have Robert Woods 40th.
Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Alshon Jeffery should serve as a very solid fourth receiver. We also see Chris Godwin as an above average WR5.
Though some teams will probably be content to roster as few as five players here, it was not a bad idea to take a few extras because you're not particularly strong overall at the position. Of your remaining guys, we like Donte Moncrief the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Robby Anderson is ranked #23 by some of our writers. Matt Waldman reasons, "Anderson emerged as a star-caliber deep threat. The quarterback situation should remain stable in 2018 with Josh McCown serving as the starter. If Sam Darnold mania takes hold prematurely, Anderson's season could become far more volatile, but I wouldn't count on it at this stage. "
Robert Woods is ranked #16 by some of our writers, which would make him a great third receiver and even a legitimate WR2. Matt Waldman reasons, "Woods produced to talent that he flashed at USC. He's a complete route runner with enough speed to win in the vertical game when he's a well-running offense with an efficient timing quarterback. Woods was on track for a 74-catch, 1041-yard, 7-score campaign in 2017 but he missed 4 games. That was top-15 production at the position last year. It appears fantasy owners are treating last year as a fluke instead of the beginning of a trend. Brandin Cooks is not a complete route runner and there's no tight end of note. Woods is the case of a talented player covered up by a struggling offense in Buffalo who emerged with his first year in a competent system. His rapport with Jared Goff should only be better in 2018. Count on top-20 production if he stays healthy; don't count out top-12 numbers with Year 2 improvement. "
Chris Godwin is ranked #31 by some of our writers, which would make him a great fifth receiver and even a legitimate WR3. Matt Waldman reasons, "Godwin's offensive coordinator already told the media in May that Godwin has earned the right to start in Tampa. It's possible that Godwin plays flanker or slot receiver and puts the existing options on the bench, but it's more likely that he platoons with the existing starters for a time at both positions. Dirk Koetter called Godwin his fourth starter this week after Godwin has dominated camp as a big-play option. He'll climb my board but not as much as his talent dictates due to the existing situation. "
TE Summary:
Jordan Reed is viable but below average as a starting tight end (we have him ranked #11). We're also not too fired up about Dallas Goedert as a backup.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Jordan Reed as high as #7, which would make him an above average first tight end. Matt Waldman's take: "I have a difficult time trusting Reed's health. He's a fantastic talent, but you always have to hedge on his potential for injuries. Even so, I'm cautiously optimistic that Reed's foot surgery will prove helpful long-term. It makes Reed a more expensive investment even when he's drafted a little later than his ADP. If you can get Reed at an ADP commensurate with a low-end TE1, the sting of taking two tight ends within 1-3 rounds of Reed won't be as painful."
Dallas Goedert is ranked #24 by some of our writers, which would make him a fine second tight end. Matt Waldman reasons, "Goedert will have a role in two-tight end sets and could earn production on par with Hunter Henry as a part-time starter. "
Kicker Summary:
With Wil Lutz, you should be above average at the position.
Die Long Shots:
11. Vienna Dolphins
QB: Case Keenum, Trevor Siemian
RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Ty Montgomery, Frank Gore, Javorius Allen
WR: Adam Thielen, Doug Baldwin, DeSean Jackson, Josh Doctson, Travis Benjamin, Brandon LaFell
TE: Delanie Walker, Tyler Kroft
PK: Mike Nugent
Overview:
Let us say this as nicely as we can. This team is brutal. It is below average and/or too thin at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver).
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. Quarterbacks like Jared Goff last season, Dak Prescott in 2016, and Blake Bortles in 2015 could be had cheap just after draft time. You are likely going to need to land many of this year's top waiver plays to make any significant noise, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Bottom line:
Adam Thielen vs. GB: 202 receiving yards, 2 TD
Doug Baldwin vs. ARI: 171 receiving yards, 1 TD
Ezekiel Elliott vs. DET: 92 combined yards, 2 TD
Brandon LaFell vs. HOU: 130 receiving yards, 1 TD
QB Summary:
We have Case Keenum rated #27 among quarterbacks, so we're not even sold on him as a fantasy starter in your league. And we don't think Trevor Siemian (ranked #64 among quarterbacks) is even a viable backup. You might want to explore the possibility of upgrading at the backup QB slot, as it shouldn't cost you too much (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).
Incidentally, these two have a terrific combined schedule (except for the shared bye) and a nice playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:
SF | GB | BUF | KC | NYJ | ARI | NYJ | KC | HOU | | CHI | GB | NE | SF | CLE | DET
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Case Keenum ranked as high as 14th, which would make him a fine first quarterback. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Keenum is a heady player who performed well on a team with a top offensive line, emerging young receivers, and a great defense. The Broncos lack the same talent along its line. How well this line plays will be the determining factor for Keenum matching his 2017 success. He's a reasonable bargain as a QB2 or a QB1 for QB-by-committee draft strategists this year. "
RB Summary:
Obviously, Ezekiel Elliott is a great way to anchor any RB group. We've got him ranked #2 at the position, and by our reckoning he gives you about a 3.5 point advantage over an average team in the first RB slot, which is good considering the rest of your running backs won't necessarily inspire fear in your opponents.
Ty Montgomery is a very weak second running back; he's a likely flex starter. Frank Gore also looks somewhat weak as a third RB.
Javorius Allen is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Frank Gore as high as #35, which would make him an above average third running back. Matt Waldman's take: "Box score analysts aren't usually fond of Gore. They usually see mediocre data and complain that too much fuss is made about Gore. However, those who understand blocking schemes and a runner's role in creating yards within the scheme when the line doesn't create easy creases know that Gore is a special player. He's not the same player he was five years ago, but he's still capable of helping an offense with intelligent and productive running between the tackles. He won't overtake Kenyan Drake for the starting role unless Drake self-destructs, but he's still good enough to earn change-of-pace duties and do extended work to keep Drake fresh. That's enough for bye-week production and the skills are good enough to keep Gore as fantasy depth with starter upside. He's currently sharing the starting role with Drake on the depth chart. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Adam Thielen is our #12 ranked receiver, Doug Baldwin is #24, and we have DeSean Jackson 59th.
Josh Doctson is a very weak fourth receiver. Travis Benjamin also looks somewhat weak as a fifth WR.
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Brandon LaFell is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Adam Thielen ranked as high as ninth, which would make him a fine first receiver. Jason Wood defends his high ranking as follows: "Thielen has improved in each of his seasons and now gets Kirk Cousins under center. His floor is high, as is his ceiling. "
Some members of our staff have DeSean Jackson ranked as high as 46th. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "The Buccaneers' offensive coordinator told the media that Chris Godwin had earned the right to start in Tampa based on last year's performance. Godwin can play outside and in the slot. I expect Tampa to platoon him with Jackson and Humphries throughout the year. Jackson remains one of the better big-play receivers in the game, but I'm skeptical of Jameis Winston and I'm re-evaluating my thoughts on this team's fantasy potential. It keeps Jackson's value lower than his talent. If he was only in New Orleans..."
Some of our staffers have Josh Doctson as high as #49, which would make him an above average fourth receiver. James Brimacombe's take: "Josh Doctson is entering his third season and one that is typically looked at as a breakout type of year. In his second season, he posted 35 catches for 502 yards and six touchdown catches on 78 targets. The second half of the season he really started to come on with 61 targets for 27 receptions, 372 yards, and three touchdowns. With Jamison Crowder and Paul Richardson as the other wide receiver options, it will likely be Doctson who will be looked to in the red zone and his six touchdowns from a year ago could be on the rise."
TE Summary:
Delanie Walker should be above average as a starting tight end. We have him ranked seventh overall at the position. Tyler Kroft is an adequate second tight end.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Tyler Kroft as high as #11, which would make him a great second tight end and even a legitimate TE1. Matt Waldman's take: "Kroft is a great late-round hedge for fantasy owners who don't have faith in Tyler Eifert staying healthy. I know I don't..."
Kicker Summary:
We don't think Mike Nugent is starter quality in this league. Keep a sharp eye on the waiver wire.
10. Untertürkheim Dragons (18%)
QB: Drew Brees, Carson Wentz, Andy Dalton
RB: Joe Mixon, LeSean McCoy, Rashaad Penny, Bilal Powell
WR: Chris Hogan, Pierre Garcon, Sterling Shepard, Paul Richardson, Randall Cobb, Mike Wallace, Cole Beasley
TE: Zach Ertz, Cameron Brate
PK: Matt Bryant, Steve Hauschka
Overview:
The quarterback position looks good, and we like your overall strength at the tradionally less important positions as well. But it has some serious issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your weaknesses at both running back and receiver put you in a hole before any games have played. To end up with a team constructed like this, you probably did not get value on some of your selections. The players themselves are not necessarily bad --- you just might have paid more than what they were worth.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Drew Brees, Bilal Powell, Andy Dalton, Mike Wallace, and Cole Beasley. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
LeSean McCoy vs. SF: 142 combined yards, 3 TD
Drew Brees vs. CAR: 465 passing yards, 4 TD
Cole Beasley vs. GB: 58 receiving yards, 2 TD
Andy Dalton vs. NE: 254 passing yards, 2 TD
QB Summary:
We expect Drew Brees to be a solid starter. According to our projections, he's the #3 QB, so you should be better off than most teams in the starting quarterback slot.
Carson Wentz, who we have rated as the #17 QB, is a nice backup and could conceivably emerge as either a starter for your team or, if Brees plays as expected, some tempting trade bait for teams with quarterback troubles.
Incidentally, Wentz has what we project as a good matchup (NYG) during Brees's bye.
Andy Dalton is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.
RB Summary:
We have Joe Mixon ranked #16 at the position, so we don't even necessarily see him as being RB1 worthy in this league. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at running back is going to make up for it, so we feel this is an area of concern.
LeSean McCoy should be a good second running back; he's a likely flex starter. We also see Rashaad Penny as an above average RB3. Tough to do better than Bilal Powell at RB4.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
LeSean McCoy is ranked #12 by some of our writers, which would make him a great second running back and even a legitimate RB1. Jeff Tefertiller reasons, "This ranking could adjust sharply down if McCoy is placed on the commissioner's exempt list. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Chris Hogan is our #31 ranked receiver, Pierre Garcon is #42, and we have Sterling Shepard 43rd.
Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Paul Richardson should be a good fourth receiver. Randall Cobb should also be solidly above average at WR5.
Though some teams will probably be content to roster as few as five players here, it was not a bad idea to take a few extras because you're not particularly strong overall at the position. Of your remaining guys, we like Mike Wallace the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Paul Richardson as high as #37, which would make him a great fourth receiver and even a legitimate WR3. Matt Waldman's take: "Richardson has the talent of a top-15 receiver but there are two main questions that must be answered. Does Alex Smith have the aggressive mentality to maximize Richardson's range? And will the offense use Richardson as more than a deep threat? Smith improved his vertical prowess during his final two years in Kansas City. If it translates to Washington, Richardson has proven that he can win big in this area. Richardson has top-25 upside this year if he's targeted 7-9 times per game. "
TE Summary:
As you are well aware, Zach Ertz is an elite tight end. We have him ranked third overall at the position. He's about 1.2 points per game better than an average starting TE in this league. Cameron Brate is a nice backup.
Kicker Summary:
With Matt Bryant and Steve Hauschka, you should be above average at the position.
Leider bewertet das Tool nur Offense-Spieler. Dennoch vielleicht mal für den ein oder anderen ganz interessant, welche Chancen das Tool für die aktuelle Saison berechnet.
Die Außenseiter:
14. Viersen Villains
QB: Aaron Rodgers, Josh McCown
RB: Jay Ajayi, Carlos Hyde, Matt Breida, Chris Ivory, Sony Michel
WR: Marvin Jones, Allen Hurns, Mohamed Sanu, Anthony Miller, Geronimo Allison, Terrance Williams
TE: Charles Clay, Hayden Hurst
PK: Greg Zuerlein, Graham Gano
Overview:
This team is built around strong quarterback play. But it has some serious issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your weaknesses at both running back and receiver put you in a hole before any games have played. To end up with a team constructed like this, you probably did not get value on some of your selections. The players themselves are not necessarily bad --- you just might have paid more than what they were worth.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Chris Ivory and Graham Gano. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 30 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 6 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Aaron Rodgers vs. MIN: 347 passing yards, 5 TD
Jay Ajayi vs. BUF: 209 combined yards, 1 TD
Charles Clay vs. MIA: 85 receiving yards, 2 TD
Chris Ivory vs. TEN: 114 combined yards, 1 TD
QB Summary:
You don't need us to tell you this, but we'll tell you anyway: Aaron Rodgers should ensure that your production at the quarterback position is among the best in the league. We have him as the #1 QB according to your scoring rules, and we figure he gives you about a 3.2 point-per-game advantage over an average starting QB.
As of now, our projections don't indicate that Josh McCown will be a viable backup quarterback. While the presence of Rodgers minimizes the need for a top backup, we might recommend taking a quick peek at the free agent list to see if you can find some help. We'll offer some specific suggestions at the end of the report.
Incidentally, McCown has what we project as a bad matchup (MIN) during Rodgers's bye.
RB Summary:
We have Jay Ajayi ranked #21 at the position, so we don't even necessarily see him as being RB1 worthy in this league. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at running back is going to make up for it, so we feel this is an area of concern.
Carlos Hyde should be a good second running back; he's a likely flex starter. We also see Matt Breida as an above average RB3. Chris Ivory should serve as a very solid fourth running back.
Sony Michel is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Jay Ajayi is ranked #15 by some of our writers. Jeff Haseley reasons, "I generally stay away from bigger backs who don't have much of a presence in the receiving game, but Ajayi may be the back who has over 250 carries with 8-10 touchdowns and 22 receptions. There's a place in my lineup for that kind of production. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Marvin Jones is our #16 ranked receiver, Allen Hurns is #48, and we have Mohamed Sanu 58th.
We don't particularly like Anthony Miller as a fourth receiver. Geronimo Allison also figures to be a bit iffy as a fifth WR.
Terrance Williams is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Marvin Jones is ranked #8 by some of our writers, which would make him a fine first receiver. Matt Waldman reasons, "Jones is another receiver who made good on my long-term expectations. His work against tight coverage was outstanding and he's an excellent route runner. My peers don't believe in him at this stage. I don't know why. I can only guess they see Jones as a regression candidate or they think Kenny Golladay will become the primary option. Neither of those makes a lot of sense because Jones' past production was often due to injuries or lesser responsibility in the offense. Golladay must evolve from a one-trick pony with route running to pass Jones or Golden Tate. Jones is the most undervalued receiver in fantasy drafts. "
Some members of our staff have Allen Hurns ranked as high as 34th. Jeff Haseley defends his high ranking as follows: "The Cowboys don't have many play makers at receiver with Dez Bryant and Jason Witten moving on. Allen Hurns becomes the de-facto veteran presence for Dak Prescott. He'll have some value, but my gut says he won't venture higher than a WR3 or flex role. "
Anthony Miller is ranked #48 by some of our writers, which would make him an above average fourth receiver. Jeff Haseley reasons, "Anthony Miller is the type of hard-working, gritty player who can make a difference as a rookie. Miller's best asset may not be his talent and ability, but what he has between his left and right ears. We saw this last year with Cooper Kupp and the impact he made for the Rams. Miller has that same combination of ability and intelligence that could put him in the direct path of an increased role as the season wears on."
TE Summary:
This is a pretty motley crew. We don't see Charles Clay as a viable starter or Hayden Hurst as an above average backup. Help is needed.
Kicker Summary:
With Greg Zuerlein and Graham Gano, you should be above average at the position.
13. Villingen Volcanoes
Villingen Volcanoes (7%)
QB: Ben Roethlisberger, Mitchell Trubisky, Lamar Jackson
RB: Derrick Henry, Dion Lewis, Alfred Morris, Tarik Cohen, Giovani Bernard, Ronald Jones II
WR: Brandin Cooks, Kenny Golladay, Michael Gallup, James Washington, Ryan Grant, Kevin White
TE: Jack Doyle, O.J. Howard, Vance McDonald
PK: Harrison Butker
Overview:
Let us say this as nicely as we can. This team is brutal. It is below average and/or too thin at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver).
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. Quarterbacks like Jared Goff last season, Dak Prescott in 2016, and Blake Bortles in 2015 could be had cheap just after draft time. You are likely going to need to land many of this year's top waiver plays to make any significant noise, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Giovani Bernard and Vance McDonald. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 30 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 7 percent chance of making the playoffs.
We have Ben Roethlisberger rated #9 among quarterbacks, which makes him a viable starter if not an exciting one. And we're not crazy about Mitchell Trubisky (ranked #23 among quarterbacks) as a backup. If Roethlisberger turns in the season we expect, this position won't ruin you, but it probably won't be a strength either. And if things go wrong, it could be a long year at QB.
Incidentally, Trubisky has what we project as a good matchup (NE) during Roethlisberger's bye.
Lamar Jackson is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Lamar Jackson as high as #25, which would make him a great third quarterback and even a legitimate QB2. Jeff Haseley's take: "I am of the camp that believes it's just a matter of time before Lamar Jackson gets his chance to start for Baltimore. Joe Flacco may have won a Super Bowl with the team, but that seems like a distant memory, especially given how he has performed over the last few seasons. It's time for a change and Lamar Jackson is the weapon who can do it for Baltimore. Jackson is a better pocket passer than most give him credit for and if Deshaun Watson can come in and be a success, why can't Jackson who has similar skill set with arguably better rushing ability? If he flashes in preseason, don't be surprised to see a short leash on Flacco. "
RB Summary:
We have Derrick Henry ranked #15 at the position, so we don't even necessarily see him as being RB1 worthy in this league. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at running back is going to make up for it, so we feel this is an area of concern.
Dion Lewis is a handcuff, but we'd like him as a second running back even if you didn't have Derrick Henry; he's a likely flex starter. Alfred Morris is an excellent RB3. Tough to do better than Tarik Cohen at RB4.
Though some teams will probably be content to roster as few as four players here, it was not a bad idea to take a few extras because you're not particularly strong overall at the position. Of your remaining guys, we like Giovani Bernard the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Derrick Henry as high as #13, which would make him a fine first running back. Jason Wood's take: "Even if you think the Titans want to split touches between Henry and Dion Lewis, it's unlikely to happen. Lewis' injury history is horrifying. And when is the last time a player left the Patriots and remained productive? Henry will be a bellcow, whether it was in the coaches' plans or not."
Some of our staffers have Dion Lewis as high as #22, which would make him a fine second running back. Matt Waldman's take: "Lewis could easily outproduce Derrick Henry in this offense that will have a lot of Patriots influences. Henry has decent feet but lacks the agility and burst of Lewis. I expect to elevate Lewis as the summer progresses. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Brandin Cooks is our 14th ranked WR, Kenny Golladay is #41, and we have Michael Gallup 62nd.
James Washington is a very weak fourth receiver. Ryan Grant also looks somewhat weak as a fifth WR.
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Kevin White is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Michael Gallup as high as #38, which would make him a fine third receiver. Jason Wood's take: "Gallup is raw and his role is far from guaranteed, but Dallas liked him enough to spend early draft capital on the former Colorado State star. "
Some members of our staff have James Washington ranked as high as 40th, which would make him a great fourth receiver and even a legitimate WR3. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Monitor how the Steelers intend to use Washington before elevating him as a routine contributor. "
TE Summary:
Jack Doyle is just OK as a starting tight end (we have him ranked #10). So the selection of O.J. Howard, who we see as a solid backup, was wise.
Vance McDonald is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.
Kicker Summary:
Harrison Butker, our 10th ranked kicker, won't win the league for you, but he'll do.
12. Posh Pott Possums:
Posh Pott Possums (8%)
QB: Dak Prescott, Baker Mayfield, Teddy Bridgewater
RB: Saquon Barkley, Peyton Barber, Chris Thompson, Doug Martin
WR: Robby Anderson, Kenny Stills, Robert Woods, Alshon Jeffery, Chris Godwin, Donte Moncrief, Terrelle Pryor, Antonio Callaway, Marqise Lee
TE: Jordan Reed, Dallas Goedert
PK: Wil Lutz
Overview:
Let us say this as nicely as we can. This team is brutal. It is below average and/or too thin at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver).
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. Quarterbacks like Jared Goff last season, Dak Prescott in 2016, and Blake Bortles in 2015 could be had cheap just after draft time. You are likely going to need to land many of this year's top waiver plays to make any significant noise, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Donte Moncrief and Wil Lutz. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 30 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 8 percent chance of making the playoffs.
We have Dak Prescott rated #18 among quarterbacks, so we're not even sold on him as a fantasy starter in your league. And we don't think Baker Mayfield (ranked #36 among quarterbacks) is even a viable backup. You might want to explore the possibility of upgrading at the backup QB slot, as it shouldn't cost you too much (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).
Incidentally, these two have a terrific combined schedule and a decent playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:
CAR | NYG | NYJ | DET | HOU | LAC | TB | PIT | TEN | ATL | ATL | CIN | HOU | CAR | IND | TB
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Teddy Bridgewater is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Teddy Bridgewater ranked as high as 31st, which would make him an above average third quarterback. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Bridgewater will most likely back up Josh McCown this year, leaving Darnold as the No. 3 option. "
RB Summary:
We have Saquon Barkley ranked #8 at the position. So while he's passable as a first running back, he doesn't look particularly thrilling. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at RB is going to make up for it, so this could be an area of some concern.
Peyton Barber should be a good second running back; he's a likely flex starter. Chris Thompson, on the other hand, is an average-at-best third RB. Doug Martin should be a good fourth running back.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Saquon Barkley ranked as high as fifth, which would make him an above average first running back. Jeff Pasquino defends his high ranking as follows: "Taking a rookie early at tailback is a risky play even if he winds up on a top notch offense, but when he is on a subpar offense it gets even more dicey. Barkley is a very good prospect, but the Giants were terrible on the ground last season and not much has been done to improve the offensive line. Barkley has next to no upside as a Top 10 running back fantasy pick, so I will pass."
Some of our staffers have Doug Martin as high as #36, which would make him a great fourth running back and even a legitimate RB3. Jason Wood's take: "Martin has multiple RB1 seasons on his resume, but he's been a fantasy bust on many occasions, too. Will a landing in Oakland make for rejuvenation? Don't bet on it. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Robby Anderson is our #26 ranked receiver, Kenny Stills is #29, and we have Robert Woods 40th.
Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Alshon Jeffery should serve as a very solid fourth receiver. We also see Chris Godwin as an above average WR5.
Though some teams will probably be content to roster as few as five players here, it was not a bad idea to take a few extras because you're not particularly strong overall at the position. Of your remaining guys, we like Donte Moncrief the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Robby Anderson is ranked #23 by some of our writers. Matt Waldman reasons, "Anderson emerged as a star-caliber deep threat. The quarterback situation should remain stable in 2018 with Josh McCown serving as the starter. If Sam Darnold mania takes hold prematurely, Anderson's season could become far more volatile, but I wouldn't count on it at this stage. "
Robert Woods is ranked #16 by some of our writers, which would make him a great third receiver and even a legitimate WR2. Matt Waldman reasons, "Woods produced to talent that he flashed at USC. He's a complete route runner with enough speed to win in the vertical game when he's a well-running offense with an efficient timing quarterback. Woods was on track for a 74-catch, 1041-yard, 7-score campaign in 2017 but he missed 4 games. That was top-15 production at the position last year. It appears fantasy owners are treating last year as a fluke instead of the beginning of a trend. Brandin Cooks is not a complete route runner and there's no tight end of note. Woods is the case of a talented player covered up by a struggling offense in Buffalo who emerged with his first year in a competent system. His rapport with Jared Goff should only be better in 2018. Count on top-20 production if he stays healthy; don't count out top-12 numbers with Year 2 improvement. "
Chris Godwin is ranked #31 by some of our writers, which would make him a great fifth receiver and even a legitimate WR3. Matt Waldman reasons, "Godwin's offensive coordinator already told the media in May that Godwin has earned the right to start in Tampa. It's possible that Godwin plays flanker or slot receiver and puts the existing options on the bench, but it's more likely that he platoons with the existing starters for a time at both positions. Dirk Koetter called Godwin his fourth starter this week after Godwin has dominated camp as a big-play option. He'll climb my board but not as much as his talent dictates due to the existing situation. "
TE Summary:
Jordan Reed is viable but below average as a starting tight end (we have him ranked #11). We're also not too fired up about Dallas Goedert as a backup.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Jordan Reed as high as #7, which would make him an above average first tight end. Matt Waldman's take: "I have a difficult time trusting Reed's health. He's a fantastic talent, but you always have to hedge on his potential for injuries. Even so, I'm cautiously optimistic that Reed's foot surgery will prove helpful long-term. It makes Reed a more expensive investment even when he's drafted a little later than his ADP. If you can get Reed at an ADP commensurate with a low-end TE1, the sting of taking two tight ends within 1-3 rounds of Reed won't be as painful."
Dallas Goedert is ranked #24 by some of our writers, which would make him a fine second tight end. Matt Waldman reasons, "Goedert will have a role in two-tight end sets and could earn production on par with Hunter Henry as a part-time starter. "
Kicker Summary:
With Wil Lutz, you should be above average at the position.
Die Long Shots:
11. Vienna Dolphins
QB: Case Keenum, Trevor Siemian
RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Ty Montgomery, Frank Gore, Javorius Allen
WR: Adam Thielen, Doug Baldwin, DeSean Jackson, Josh Doctson, Travis Benjamin, Brandon LaFell
TE: Delanie Walker, Tyler Kroft
PK: Mike Nugent
Overview:
Let us say this as nicely as we can. This team is brutal. It is below average and/or too thin at all three core positions (quarterback, running back and receiver).
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. Quarterbacks like Jared Goff last season, Dak Prescott in 2016, and Blake Bortles in 2015 could be had cheap just after draft time. You are likely going to need to land many of this year's top waiver plays to make any significant noise, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 35 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 11 percent chance of making the playoffs.
Adam Thielen vs. GB: 202 receiving yards, 2 TD
Doug Baldwin vs. ARI: 171 receiving yards, 1 TD
Ezekiel Elliott vs. DET: 92 combined yards, 2 TD
Brandon LaFell vs. HOU: 130 receiving yards, 1 TD
QB Summary:
We have Case Keenum rated #27 among quarterbacks, so we're not even sold on him as a fantasy starter in your league. And we don't think Trevor Siemian (ranked #64 among quarterbacks) is even a viable backup. You might want to explore the possibility of upgrading at the backup QB slot, as it shouldn't cost you too much (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).
Incidentally, these two have a terrific combined schedule (except for the shared bye) and a nice playoff schedule too. If you simply played the one with the better matchup each week, this is the schedule you'd face:
SF | GB | BUF | KC | NYJ | ARI | NYJ | KC | HOU | | CHI | GB | NE | SF | CLE | DET
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Case Keenum ranked as high as 14th, which would make him a fine first quarterback. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "Keenum is a heady player who performed well on a team with a top offensive line, emerging young receivers, and a great defense. The Broncos lack the same talent along its line. How well this line plays will be the determining factor for Keenum matching his 2017 success. He's a reasonable bargain as a QB2 or a QB1 for QB-by-committee draft strategists this year. "
RB Summary:
Obviously, Ezekiel Elliott is a great way to anchor any RB group. We've got him ranked #2 at the position, and by our reckoning he gives you about a 3.5 point advantage over an average team in the first RB slot, which is good considering the rest of your running backs won't necessarily inspire fear in your opponents.
Ty Montgomery is a very weak second running back; he's a likely flex starter. Frank Gore also looks somewhat weak as a third RB.
Javorius Allen is a solid depth pick.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Frank Gore as high as #35, which would make him an above average third running back. Matt Waldman's take: "Box score analysts aren't usually fond of Gore. They usually see mediocre data and complain that too much fuss is made about Gore. However, those who understand blocking schemes and a runner's role in creating yards within the scheme when the line doesn't create easy creases know that Gore is a special player. He's not the same player he was five years ago, but he's still capable of helping an offense with intelligent and productive running between the tackles. He won't overtake Kenyan Drake for the starting role unless Drake self-destructs, but he's still good enough to earn change-of-pace duties and do extended work to keep Drake fresh. That's enough for bye-week production and the skills are good enough to keep Gore as fantasy depth with starter upside. He's currently sharing the starting role with Drake on the depth chart. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Adam Thielen is our #12 ranked receiver, Doug Baldwin is #24, and we have DeSean Jackson 59th.
Josh Doctson is a very weak fourth receiver. Travis Benjamin also looks somewhat weak as a fifth WR.
Because you're not particularly strong overall at the position, adding some depth here was a good idea. But we're not convinced Brandon LaFell is the right player for the job. Check the end of the report for some alternative suggestions.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some members of our staff have Adam Thielen ranked as high as ninth, which would make him a fine first receiver. Jason Wood defends his high ranking as follows: "Thielen has improved in each of his seasons and now gets Kirk Cousins under center. His floor is high, as is his ceiling. "
Some members of our staff have DeSean Jackson ranked as high as 46th. Matt Waldman defends his high ranking as follows: "The Buccaneers' offensive coordinator told the media that Chris Godwin had earned the right to start in Tampa based on last year's performance. Godwin can play outside and in the slot. I expect Tampa to platoon him with Jackson and Humphries throughout the year. Jackson remains one of the better big-play receivers in the game, but I'm skeptical of Jameis Winston and I'm re-evaluating my thoughts on this team's fantasy potential. It keeps Jackson's value lower than his talent. If he was only in New Orleans..."
Some of our staffers have Josh Doctson as high as #49, which would make him an above average fourth receiver. James Brimacombe's take: "Josh Doctson is entering his third season and one that is typically looked at as a breakout type of year. In his second season, he posted 35 catches for 502 yards and six touchdown catches on 78 targets. The second half of the season he really started to come on with 61 targets for 27 receptions, 372 yards, and three touchdowns. With Jamison Crowder and Paul Richardson as the other wide receiver options, it will likely be Doctson who will be looked to in the red zone and his six touchdowns from a year ago could be on the rise."
TE Summary:
Delanie Walker should be above average as a starting tight end. We have him ranked seventh overall at the position. Tyler Kroft is an adequate second tight end.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Tyler Kroft as high as #11, which would make him a great second tight end and even a legitimate TE1. Matt Waldman's take: "Kroft is a great late-round hedge for fantasy owners who don't have faith in Tyler Eifert staying healthy. I know I don't..."
Kicker Summary:
We don't think Mike Nugent is starter quality in this league. Keep a sharp eye on the waiver wire.
10. Untertürkheim Dragons (18%)
QB: Drew Brees, Carson Wentz, Andy Dalton
RB: Joe Mixon, LeSean McCoy, Rashaad Penny, Bilal Powell
WR: Chris Hogan, Pierre Garcon, Sterling Shepard, Paul Richardson, Randall Cobb, Mike Wallace, Cole Beasley
TE: Zach Ertz, Cameron Brate
PK: Matt Bryant, Steve Hauschka
Overview:
The quarterback position looks good, and we like your overall strength at the tradionally less important positions as well. But it has some serious issues post-draft. Your only real core strength is at quarterback, yet that's often the easiest position to fill during the season. Your weaknesses at both running back and receiver put you in a hole before any games have played. To end up with a team constructed like this, you probably did not get value on some of your selections. The players themselves are not necessarily bad --- you just might have paid more than what they were worth.
To make this team into a serious contender, you are going to need to be extremely active in trades and on the waiver wire. You esentially need to turn over significant parts of this roster. Last year running backs like Alvin Kamara and Dion Lewis could be had dirt cheap at the draft. Additionally, wide receivers like Devin Funchess and Nelson Agholor were available after a lot of the drafts. You are likely going to need to land some of this year's top waiver plays, so pay close attention to increased workloads, targets, injuries, etc.
Players we particularly like on this team include Drew Brees, Bilal Powell, Andy Dalton, Mike Wallace, and Cole Beasley. We have all these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 55 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 40 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 18 percent chance of making the playoffs.
LeSean McCoy vs. SF: 142 combined yards, 3 TD
Drew Brees vs. CAR: 465 passing yards, 4 TD
Cole Beasley vs. GB: 58 receiving yards, 2 TD
Andy Dalton vs. NE: 254 passing yards, 2 TD
QB Summary:
We expect Drew Brees to be a solid starter. According to our projections, he's the #3 QB, so you should be better off than most teams in the starting quarterback slot.
Carson Wentz, who we have rated as the #17 QB, is a nice backup and could conceivably emerge as either a starter for your team or, if Brees plays as expected, some tempting trade bait for teams with quarterback troubles.
Incidentally, Wentz has what we project as a good matchup (NYG) during Brees's bye.
Andy Dalton is an excellent depth pick, though you may not end up using him much.
RB Summary:
We have Joe Mixon ranked #16 at the position, so we don't even necessarily see him as being RB1 worthy in this league. And we also have some doubts about whether your depth at running back is going to make up for it, so we feel this is an area of concern.
LeSean McCoy should be a good second running back; he's a likely flex starter. We also see Rashaad Penny as an above average RB3. Tough to do better than Bilal Powell at RB4.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
LeSean McCoy is ranked #12 by some of our writers, which would make him a great second running back and even a legitimate RB1. Jeff Tefertiller reasons, "This ranking could adjust sharply down if McCoy is placed on the commissioner's exempt list. "
WR Summary:
We see all your starters at receiver as below average. Chris Hogan is our #31 ranked receiver, Pierre Garcon is #42, and we have Sterling Shepard 43rd.
Your bench looks good and should help offset the unexciting starting unit. Paul Richardson should be a good fourth receiver. Randall Cobb should also be solidly above average at WR5.
Though some teams will probably be content to roster as few as five players here, it was not a bad idea to take a few extras because you're not particularly strong overall at the position. Of your remaining guys, we like Mike Wallace the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.
Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:
Some of our staffers have Paul Richardson as high as #37, which would make him a great fourth receiver and even a legitimate WR3. Matt Waldman's take: "Richardson has the talent of a top-15 receiver but there are two main questions that must be answered. Does Alex Smith have the aggressive mentality to maximize Richardson's range? And will the offense use Richardson as more than a deep threat? Smith improved his vertical prowess during his final two years in Kansas City. If it translates to Washington, Richardson has proven that he can win big in this area. Richardson has top-25 upside this year if he's targeted 7-9 times per game. "
TE Summary:
As you are well aware, Zach Ertz is an elite tight end. We have him ranked third overall at the position. He's about 1.2 points per game better than an average starting TE in this league. Cameron Brate is a nice backup.
Kicker Summary:
With Matt Bryant and Steve Hauschka, you should be above average at the position.